Posts filed under 'Politics and stocks'

The Underground Investor™ Database Archives

We’ve moved the archives to the bottom of the page but they are still here. Of course you may always access the archives by clicking on the listed categories in the left hand column of this page as well. Learn the best ways to invest money during the developing dollar crisis, possible stock market crash, and developing financial crisis. Our goal is to be the only website that consistently provides you, the reader, with the REAL stories behind the stories in the investment world today and the facts you need to know about gold investments, the oil crisis and how to recession proof your investment portfolio against coming bank failures and continuing economic mayhem.

For a much higher level of premium information and specific guidance about how to achieve financial freedom with our PROPRIETARY investment system, consider our subscription services. Learn more about our premier investment research and education services, the SmartKnowledgeUInvestment Education System here, and our premier stock research newsletter,the Global Stock Picker, a newsletter where the return of our Model Portfolio is 21.68% just 12-1/2 months after our launch, a figure that is outperforming U.S. and U.K. markets by nearly 40%, the Chinese Shanghai SSE index by more than 63.03%, and the India BSESN index by more than 24.41%!

Most Read Posts (64 articles) – Discover which articles Underground Investor™ readers are most interested in. See the full database, including the most recent articles that may not be listed below,  by clicking the link above.

Sept. 27, 2007 – 101 Reasons Why Managing Your Money is the Quickest Way to Build Wealth
Sept. 25, 2007 – 10 Surefire Ways to Make an Investment Fortune
Sept. 15, 2007 – Why the U.S. Feds 0.50% Rate Cut Won’t Save the Markets
Sept. 15, 2007 – U.S. Interest Rate Cut to Have Little Long-Term Positive Effect
Aug. 20, 2007 – How Much Does the Gov’t Really Manipulate Markets
Aug. 9, 2007 – More Gov’t Foolishness (or Lies) Again: Markets are Sound…NOT!
Aug. 9, 2007 – Chinese Tariffs and the Nuclear Option
Jul. 24, 2007 – How to Invest Like the World’s Greatest Investors
Jun. 17, 2007 – Get Out of Dollar-Denominated Bonds While You Still Can!
May 1, 2007 – Uranium Stocks are Finally Getting the Attention They Deserve
Apr. 23, 2007 – The Emperor’s New Clothes Abound in the Investment Industry. Don’t Get Cheated by Your Advisor
Apr. 20, 2007 – Use Intelligent Strategies to Push Risk Back onto Investment Firms
Apr. 19, 2007 – In Risky Markets, Follow the Behavior of the Ultra-Rich, Not the Rich
Apr. 12, 2007 – The Secret to Investing

Gold Investments (37 articles) - Use traditional rules to invest in gold stocks and you’ll lose money hand over fist with this asset class. Learn more about one of the most important components of every portfolio for future years to come. See the full database, including the most recent articles that may not be listed below, by clicking the above link.

April 23, 2008 – Will U.S. Markets Crash Now or Later?
Feb. 4, 2008 – Could Chinese New Year’s Fuel the Next Rally Higher for Gold Stocks?
Jan. 29, 2008 – Even After This Strong Run, Gold Stocks are Still a Bargain Today. Here’s Why.
Jan. 5, 2008 – A Sneak Peak at Our Premium Level Information
Nov. 4, 2007 – Is Hyperinflation Coming to the U.S.? It’s Time to Stock Up on Gold.
Nov. 4. 2007 – Gold is the Best Investment Today, History Tells Us So.
Nov. 2, 3007 – Gold Expensive at $791/oz.? Not by a Longshot
Jun. 5, 2007 – Learn How NOT to Invest in Gold
Mar. 30, 2007 – Navigate the Minefields of the Investment Information Highway
Mar. 7, 2007 – This Bounce in Gold Markets Merits a Cautious Approach
Mar. 6, 2007 – Gold Stocks Correction – What it Means?
Feb. 28, 2007 – How to Profit from a Weakening Market, Gold Stocks, & More, Part II
Feb. 28, 2007 – Buying Opportunity in Gold Stocks
Feb. 28, 2007 – How to Profit from a Weakening Market, Gold Stocks, & More, Part I
Feb. 23, 2007 – Uncover the Ignored Asset Classes
Feb. 12, 2007 – How Do I Know that Institutional Money is Still Not on Board with Gold?
Jan. 25, 2007 – If You Don’t Own Gold Stocks, You Need To
Jan. 23, 2007 – Building Wealth Requires More than Just Contrarian Investing
Jan. 14, 2007 – Use the Long Tail of Investing to Accurately Predict the Price of Gold
Jan. 11, 2007 – The REAL DEAL about Gold and Energy
Dec. 13, 2007 – Commodities and Asians: Apparently We All Look Alike
Nov. 6, 2006 – Sometimes Silence is Golden
Oct. 10, 2006 – Shock and Awe Awaits Global Markets
Oct. 4, 2006 – Is Gold’s Correction Over Yet?
Oct. 2, 2006 – Fiat Currency Concerns Give Rise to a Gold & Silver Backed Currency System
Oct. 1, 2006 – The Gold Timeline – A History of Gold Prices
Sept. 16, 2006 – Has the Commodities Bubble Burst? No, No, No!
Sept. 13, 2006 – Sell the Rumor, Buy the News
Sept. 11, 2006 – Gold’s Speculative Stigma is Unwarranted
Sept. 3, 2006 – Gold’s Glitter is Genuine
Aug. 14, 2006- Knowing Your History is More Important to Creating Wealth than Fundamental Analysis

Financial Crisis, Dollar Crisis & Recession Proof Investing (30 articles) – Foolish investors’ eyes lit up as New Century Financial dropped from $30 to $20 a share during the recent subprime mortgage fiasco. Their hearts thumped with excitement as shares dropped from $20 to $10 and they doubled down. When shares dropped to $5 they thought it had to be the bottom and put their last remaining money into New Century. A month later, they lost everything. There is similar optimism surrounding the dollar today from self-declared currency experts. Discover why the dollar is much more likely to go the way of New Century than experience a comeback like Muhammad Ali’s Rumble in the Jungle. For the most recent articles, perhaps not listed below, click the above category link.

June 26, 2008 – The One Question That Will Have the Greatest Impact on Your Financial Future
May 14, 2008 – What’s Driving the Price of Oil Higher? It’s the Dollar, Stupid!
April 30, 2008 - How Low Will the Feds Go?
April 17, 2008 – Monetary Inflation. How Increased Paper Wealth Can Translate into a Lower Standard of Living
March 3, 2008 – Why Investors Will Never Make Money in this Bear Market
Feb. 20, 2008 – The Secret to Building Wealth in Volatile Markets
Feb. 6, 2008 – Is Recession in the U.S. Coming? We’re Already in One.
Jan. 28, 2008 – The Outcome of the Fed’s Interest Rate Cuts? History is the Best Oracle.
Jan. 24, 2008 – The Fed’s 0.75% Interest Rate Cut – A Recipe for Future Disaster
Dec. 7, 2007 – The Dollar Panic. Is it Real?
Sept. 19, 2007 – Signs of a Peak Investment Crisis Keep Coming
June 18, 2007 – Alan Greenspan’s Call of Checkmate on China is Premature
June 17, 2007 – PIMCO’s Bill Gross and the Economist Agree with SmartKnowledgeU 6 Months After the Fact!
May 28, 2007 – The Politics of Higher Oil Prices
May 26, 2007 – Asian Countries Pooling Reserves to Protect Themselves from the Incredible Shrinking Dollar, Part II
May 25, 2007 – Asian Countries Pooling Reserves, Part I
May 3, 2007 – The Death of the 3-Year Treasury Note
Apr. 1, 2007 – The Next Cold War Will be an Economic One
Jan. 25, 2007 – Dollar-Denominated Bonds Faltering
Jan. 9, 2007 – Use the Longtail of Investing to Accurately Predict Dollar Behavior
Jan 7, 2007 – 10 Reasons Why Dollar-Denominate Bonds Aren’t Safe
Dec. 21, 2006 – Iran Presents More Trouble for the U.S. Dollar
Dec. 7, 2006 – The U.S. has Perfected the Incredible Shrinking Dollar

Free Stock Picks (24 articles) – While our top-shelf stock picks and ideas that have since returned 100% to 200% returns are reserved for our members only, here read articles about some mid-shelf stock picks and ideas that have already returned 30% returns in less than a year. Access the full database, including the most recent articles that may not be listed below,  by clicking the topic link above.

Jun. 4, 2007 – To Prove the Effectiveness of Our SmartKnowledgeUInvestment System, Even Our Weakest Picks that We’ve Given Away for FREE Have Soared
Apr. 29, 2007 – After BAIDU, Possibly Focus Media
Apr. 2, 2007 – Profit, Don’t Lose From Market Corrections
Apr. 2, 2007 – Global Warming Presents Easy 30% Gains for Underground Investor Readers
Mar. 13, 2007 – Beware the Perpetual Bulls, Part II
Feb. 18, 2007 – Banking Sector FY 2008 – Positive for Japan & India, Negative for China
Jan. 4, 2007 – Chinese Technology Companies to Watch in 2007
Dec. 19, 2007 – MSFT and Internet Protocol Version 6
Dec. 12, 2006 – It’s Time to Keep a Close Eye on Indian Stocks ICICI & HDFC
Dec. 7, 2006 – The Ocean Becomes a New Growth Point in the World Economy
Oct. 30, 2006 – What’s the Safest Place to Invest in the Oil Industry Now?
Oct. 30, 2006 – You’ll Find Ignored Investment Opportunities in the DRC & Libya
Oct. 23, 2006 – Indian Banks Anyone? Four Letters: HDFC
Oct. 9, 2006 – Don’t Believe the Hype – Avoid Chinese Bank Stocks


The Peak Investment Crisis & Stock Market Crash (57 articles)
– Bubbling underneath the surface, there lies a peak investment crisis. When it hits, savvy investors will build a fortune. Unfortunately, most investors will be blindsided and lose great fortunes instead. Access the entire database, including the most recent articles that may not be listed below,  by clicking on the above category link.

Nov. 4, 2007 – Is Hyperinflation Coming to the U.S.? It’s Time to Stock Up on Gold.
Nov. 4. 2007 – Gold is the Best Investment Today, Part II
Oct. 15, 2007 – Our New Forum on Facebook: Crisis Investing
Oct. 9, 2007 – Beware the Turbulence that Lies Beneath the Surface, Part I
Sept. 20, 2007 -The Signs of a Peak Investment Crisis Keep Coming
Sept. 19, 2007 -Why the U.S. Fed’s 0.50% Rate Cut Won’t Save the Markets
Aug. 9, 2007 – More Gov’t Foolishness Again
Jun. 29, 2007 – Don’t Let the Strength of the U.S. Markets in the First Half of 2007 Fool You
Mar. 11, 2007 – It’s the Difference Between Chasing & Building Wealth
Mar. 6, 2007 – What this Correction Means for Gold Stocks
Feb. 28, 2007 – How to Profit From a Weakening Market & Gold Stocks
Sept. 9, 2006 – The Peak Investment Crisis
Aug. 11, 2006 – How to Protect Your Portfolio During Turbulent Markets

A New Investment Paradigm for the 21st Century (11 articles) – Fundamental and Value investing may take years of patience to pay off (i.e. Apple Computers was a huge value stock at $13 a share and took more than four years of waiting to pay off huge), Growth investing often leads to chasing hot sectors that correct rapidly. Discover why changing conditions in today’s global market has created a new investment paradigm that is hands down the best way to invest today. Click the link above to see all articles, including the most recent articles that may not be listed below,  in this category.

Jul. 24, 2007 – How to Invest Like the World’s Greatest Investors
Feb. 25, 2007 – Frontrunning Can Make You a Fortune
Jan. 30, 2007 – The New Paradigm of Successful Investment Strategies
Jan. 21, 2007 – 10 Reasons the Longtail of Investing is the Only Way to Build Wealth
Jan. 16, 2007 – Use the Longtail of Investing to Predict Major Market Events with High Accuracy
Jan. 9, 2007 – Accurately Predict U.S. Dollar Behavior
Sept. 1, 2006 – What Mark Cuban Failed to Realize About Investing

The Biggest Investment Myths (62 articles) – All investment professionals, from investment firms to financial consultants to the financial journal purposely spread tales of lies and deception. Jim Cramer, an investment professional that amassed a fortune as a hedge fund manager, recently stated that the last thing he ever wanted to do is to tell the truth. Find out why deception is part of the game in the investment industry.  Click the category link above to access the full database, including the most recent articles that may not be listed below.

Oct. 25, 2007 – New Home Sales Went Up. So What?
Oct. 15, 2007 – Beware the Turbulence that Lies Beneath the Surface, II
May 6, 2007 – Economic Reports Drive Short-Term Behavior, but Hardly Represent the Truth
Mar. 21, 2007 – The Short-Term May be Rosy, but Beware the Financial Crisis that is Building Steam
Mar. 4, 2007 – Foreign Markets aren’t as Risky as the Pundits Say
Feb. 23, 3007 – Evolve Your Investment Strategies with Evolving Technology
Feb. 6, 2007 – My Problem with Investment Newsletters (except ours, of course!)
Feb. 4, 2007 – 10 Questions to Help You Find a Superior Financial Consultant
Jan. 30, 2007 – A New Paradigm of Successful Investment Strategies
Jan. 25, 2007 – Despite Evidence to the Contrary, Millions of Investors Will Believe Whatever they Want to Believe
Jan. 7, 2007 – 10 Reasons Why Dollar Denominated Bonds Aren’t as Safe as You Think
Jan. 5, 2007 – How Understanding MMA Champions will Make You a Better Investor
Dec. 18, 2006 – The True Determinants of Wealth Have Nothing to do with Asset Allocation
Nov. 12, 2006 – The Greatest Investment Myth Exposed: Why Modern Portfolio Theory WILL NEVER Make You Rich.

Wealth Literacy (88 articles) – Wealth Literacy is the new Financial Literacy. Financial Literacy may teach you to be fiscally responsible but you can still be financially literate and remain poor. Wealth Literacy fills in all the holes of Financial Literacy and teaches you how to build wealth today. Click the category link above to see new articles that may not be listed below.

Oct. 15, 2007 – Our New Facebook Investment Group – Crisis Investing
Oct. 9, 2007 – Beware the Turbulence that Lies Beneath the Surface, I
Apr. 23, 2007 – Beware the Emperor’s New Clothes -Don’t Get Cheated by Your Adviser
Apr. 20, 2007 – Intelligent Investment Strategies Push Risk Off of You & Back onto Investment Firms
Apr. 19, 2007 – In Risky Markets, Follow the Behavior of the Ultra-Rich, Not the Rich
Apr. 17, 2007 – Why Wealth Literacy is More Important than Financial Literacy, Part II
Apr. 15, 2007 – Why Wealth Literacy is More Important than Financial Literacy, Part I
Apr. 13, 2007 – Pop Investing is All the Rage, but it’s a Loser’s Game
Apr. 12, 2007 – The Secret to Investing in 3 Easy Rules
Apr. 10, 2007 – Build Wealth by Answering These 5 Questions
Mar. 30, 2007 - How to Navigate the Minefields of the Investment Information Highway
Mar. 12, 2007 – The Short-Term May be Rosy, But Beware the Financial Crisis that is Building Steam
Mar. 11, 2007 – The Difference Between Chasing Wealth and Building Wealth
Feb 23, 2007 – Uncover the Ignored Asset Classes
Feb. 21, 2007 – Why Traditional Education Stifles Your Ability to Build Wealth
Feb. 15, 2007 – 7 Habits of Highly Effective Investors
Feb. 8, 2007 – 10 Reasons Why a Professional Athlete’s Best Friend Needs to be his Financial Adviser

Politics and Stocks (30 articles) – Think you don’t need to understand politics to be a good investor? Think again. If you don’t understand politics, you’ll never fully understand the most likely future direction of global stock markets, oil, gold, and currency markets. Click the above category link to see the full database of articles, including the most recent articles that may not be listed below.

Apr. 11, 2007 – Building Great Wealth in Stocks Requires Understanding Politics
Apr. 1, 2007 – The Next Cold War will be an Economic One
Apr. 1, 2007 – Possible U.S. Military Intervention in Iran
Mar. 13, 2007 – To Err on the Subject of Chinese Tariffs May Expedite a Shakespearean Tragedy
Dec. 17, 2007 – Do Free Markets and Free Trade Exist?

Oil Crisis (15 articles) – Think oil prices are controlled by supply and demand, futures traders, or Peak Oil Theory? Think again. Discover the true determinants of oil price behavior, primarily dollar devaluation. Click the above category link to see the full database of articles, including the most recent articles that may not be listed below.

May 14, 2009 – What’s Driving the Price of Oil Higher? It’s the Dollar, Stupid!
May 28, 2007 – The Politics of Higher Oil Prices
Nov. 26, 2006 – Does the end of Mid-Term Elections Mean Higher Gas Prices Again?
Nov. 8, 2006 – The Peak Oil Theory was Created by – You Guessed it – Big Oil!
Oct. 30, 2006 – The Safest Place to Invest in the Oil Industry Now? – Oil Refiners, Pipeline Manufacturers, Deep Sea Platform & Drilling Manufacturers, and 4D Imaging Companies
Oct. 30, 2006 – You’ll Find Ignored Investment Opportunities in the DRC and Libya
Oct. 12, 2006 – How Has Prince Bandar bin Sultan Affected Oil Prices in Years Past?

Uranium Investments (3 articles)– The bulk of this information is contained within our members only area, but you’ll find an article or two here. Click the above category link to see the full database of articles, including the most recent articles that may not be listed below.

May 1, 2007 – Uranium Stocks are Finally Getting Some Attention. Better Late than Never.
May 1, 2007 – What Does Uranium Futures Mean for the Future of Uranium Stocks?

Africa Investments (5 articles) – For the more daring investor willing to place small bets for HUGE returns, Africa awaits.

Canada Investments (4 articles) – Articles about Canada and the Canadian stock market and hands down some of the best opportunities in ANY global stock market.

China Investments (21 articles) – Articles about Chinese stocks and the Chinese stock market.

India Investments (4 articles) – Articles about Indian stocks and the Indian stock market.

Japan Investments (4 articles) – Articles about the Japanese economy and stock market.

Russia Investments (1 articles) – Articles about the Russian economy and stock market

U.S. Stocks (25 articles) – Articles about U.S. stocks and the American stock market.

Vietnam Investments (3 article) – Articles about Vietnam and the explosive yet unregulated Vietnamese market.

Investment Psychology (22 articles) – One of the most important but yet most overlooked and ignored aspects of investing is psychology. Discover how an improper mindset can be the difference between huge losses and huge gains in your portfolio. Click the above category link to see the full database of articles, including the most recent articles that may not be listed below.

Feb. 7, 2007 – Investors Should Apply the Rule of Shopping 101 to Buying Stocks
Jan. 3, 2007 – Will the 2006 Year End Rally Continue into 2007?
Dec. 21, 2006 - Perception Can Overrule Reality in Driving Behavior but Reality Will Overrule Perceptions in Driving Outcome
Nov. 30, 2006 – The Recency Effect Hurts Investment Decisions
Nov. 2, 2006- Canadian PM Stephen Harper & Hungarian PM Ferenc Gyurcsany – the More Things Change the More They Stay the Same
Nov. 2, 2006 – Irrational, Not Rational, Behavior Often Drives Markets
Oct. 24, 2006 – The Financial Media are Like Bad Weatherman
Oct. 8, 2006 – The SmartKnowledgeU Reader’s List
Oct. 4, 2006 – Hungarian PM Ferenc Gyurcsany: We LIED Morning, Noon, & Night!
Sept. 26, 2007 – Move Over Harry Potter! The Deceptive Wizardry of Fund Managers
Sept. 17, 2006 – When it Comes to Investing, You Get What You Pay For
Sept. 16, 2006 – Why Do People Believe One of the Dumbest, Most Flawed & Deceptive Measures of Economic Conditions?
Sept. 13, 2006 – Why Book Smarts Won’t Help You Build Wealth
Sept. 10, 2006 – Investment Psychology 101
Aug. 24, 2006 – To Become Wealthy, Abandon Widespread Beliefs About Investing
Aug. 18, 2006 – Following Mainstream Media Will Lead You Down a Disastrous Investment Road
Aug. 3, 2006 – Following Short-Term Fluctuations Will Create Poor Investment Decisions

Options Investing (10 articles) – We don’t discuss options much here but occasionally, if there is a compelling play, we’ll write an article or two.

Water Investing (1 article) – Read articles about investing in water as a commodity as the world’s fresh water supply becomes more scarce.

The Zen of Investing (42 posts) – Read articles from our resident martial arts expert regarding how understanding principles of martial arts can make you a much better investor. A combination of “The Art of War” and “The Art of Investing” if you will. Click the above category link to see the full database of articles, including the most recent articles that may not be listed below.

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More on this topic (What's this?)
Inching Closer to the Gold Explosion
The Vocabulary of The New Normal
Buying And Selling Gold?
Bloomberg Gold Buy Signal
Read more on Gold at Wikinvest

2 comments July 15th, 2009

Hundreds of Millions May Face Starvation in the Next 5-10 Years

More than 2-½ years ago when I predicted a global stock market crash on my investment blog, even foreshadowing the duration and the severity of the impending crisis by naming it the Peak Investment Crisis, many called my predictions ludicrous and far-fetched. In that article, I specifically stated that the declines in global stock market indexes could easily “dwarf the pullbacks that caused a 10% decline in the London FTSE, a 35% decline in the Indian markets, a 30% decline in the Brazilian markets, and 20% decline in the Japanese markets over a several week period in 2006” and that “it [was] a potential disaster that 99% of people [were] unaware of.” Today, I foresee another enormous disaster with far wider-reaching and more serious implications than even our current global financial crisis. Read more …

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Guest Post: Who's Got Talent?
Whose Got Talent?
New Ways to Shop
Read more on Food & Beverage at Wikinvest

3 comments May 6th, 2009

How the Financial Elites Enronized America

Last week, when almost every major US bank manufactured profits out of thin air by changing their regular reporting periods to exclude months in which huge losses occurred, by changing their definitions of bad debt, and by revaluing their assets at fantasy land valuations that they will never receive in the open market courtesy of FASB, this event was a non-event to me because it merely continued the process known as the Enronization of America. This event, the systemic injection of fraud and deceit into nearly every aspect of American life, has been unfolding for decades, even prior to the Enron scandal itself.

Recently, Bank of America CEO Ken Lewis testified that former US Treasury Secretary and ex-Goldman Sachs CEO Hank Paulson instructed him to disobey securities law and conceal material losses in the Merrill Lynch merger from investors. Lewis additionally testified that Paulson threatened to fire him and his entire board if he tried to back out of the Merrill deal. These revelations, too, did not surprise me Read more …

1 comment May 1st, 2009

How the Lack of Transparency in World Gold Markets Translates into Poor Analysis

Every precious metals trader that has analyzed gold prices over the past several decades knows that a common ploy the IMF and leading global Central Banks utilize to suppress gold prices in the COMEX futures markets is to announce plans to sell gold despite their total lack of commitment to executing their announced plans. For example, the Bank of Italy announced in late July, 2007 their plan to sell an estimated 1,740 tonnes of its gold reserves to help pay down its national debt. At this time, this announcement moved the gold futures markets lower because many analysts found this announcement shocking in light of the fact that Italy had always previously stated that its gold reserves were “untouchable”. However, any gold analyst worth his or her weight in salt immediately knew that this announcement was a complete sham because Italy’s announced sales, as considerable as they were, would never have significantly contributed to its declared end goal of solving their national debt problem. Thus, simply by drilling down to the facts behind the Bank of Italy’s surface level announcement, one would have easily deduced that an ulterior motive much different than the stated motive existed. Sure enough, the Bank of Italy never followed through its announcement to sell its gold reserves yet still achieved its likely ulterior motive of temporarily halting the rise in gold prices and driving them lower. Read more …

More on this topic (What's this?)
Bloomberg Gold Buy Signal
Inching Closer to the Gold Explosion
Why Silver Should Head Higher
Read more on Gold at Wikinvest

Add comment April 28th, 2009

The Gaping Hole in the Deflation Argument, Part II

In Part I of “The Gaping Hole”, I stated that “the valid argument against massive future inflation is the fact that this bailout money must eventually end up not just in the monetary base but in the monetary supply.” When money in the monetary base is converted to monetary supply then this indeed causes velocity as the institutions that store the monetary base (the banking system) have the ability to leverage this base by up to 100 times the amount of money represented by the monetary base (Not 10 times as many people erroneously believe that the RRR in the US is 10%. For a full explanation of the degradation of reserve ratio requirements to zero for many US banking accounts, please reference this article here).

Thus, the proponents of the prolonged deflation argument suggest that significant acceleration in money velocity is years away. Here’s why they are wrong. Read more …

More on this topic (What's this?)
SURVIVING DEFLATION: FIRST UNDERSTAND IT
The US Dollar, Inflation, and Deflation
Inflation, stagflation or deflation?
Guest Post: Is Inflation Inevitable?
Read more on Deflation at Wikinvest

4 comments April 24th, 2009

How We Can Save Our Country & Prevent Big Banks From Ruining America Forever

The recent comments of many on our nation’s top banking executives have been so consistently disingenuous that the subject of this article has been long overdue for some time now. On March 20, 2009, Citigroup CEO Vikram Pandit issued a memo to all Citigroup employees in which he stated, “Our industry has recently seen a tide of negative sentiment rising in Washington, D.C. regarding compensation. Of course, some of it is warranted. But I take exception when there is a discussion about spreading the blame to each and every employee in the financial services industry. At our company, we removed the people responsible for Citi’s financial distress and acted fast to strengthen and streamline the business, and install new risk processes and new risk personnel. You have been invaluable in our collective efforts to put the company on solid footing… please rest assured that senior management and experts in Washington are focused on these developments and trying to address issues raised in the debate with clarity about the real facts.”

I take great offense to Mr. Pandit’s willingness to remove all responsibility for this crisis from “each and every employee” in the financial services industry. What made America a great country in the past was each and every American citizen’s willingness to take personal responsibility for his or her mistakes instead of sloughing the blame onto someone else. What made America a great country in the past was the courageous transparency of American leaders to discuss the truth with her citizens, as painful as that truth may have been, versus the cowardice of deception to dishonorably fool the masses into believing a picture of reality that is a lie. Read more …

More on this topic (What's this?) Read more on Citigroup, Banking at Wikinvest

Add comment April 15th, 2009

Good Surprises This Earning Seasons Will Create Very Bad Future Surprises

With FASB demonstrating no backbone this Thursday and voting to change mark-to-market rules with not a single dissenting vote (demonstrating that not a single FASB board member has the guts to stand up for what is right), the Big Deception is now in play for earnings season which starts tomorrow on April 7th. Despite the fact that the consensus is for earnings to be brutal and consequently, for the global stock market rally to end, here’s what I think will happen.

The timing of FASB’s ruling was in no part coincidental. There was a rush to approve the suspension of mark-to-market rules that allows US financial companies to use their “significant judgment” to value illiquid assets such as mortgage securities and mortgage-backed securities. I’m sure investors appreciate that valuation will be left to the significant judgment of financial executives since it was their fine judgment that helped fuel many of the steps of this global economic quagmire we find ourselves in at the present time. Read more …

More on this topic (What's this?)
REAL-TIME MBS PRICING
Much Ado About MERS-thing...
Can An ETF Really Save The World?
Read more on Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) at Wikinvest

1 comment April 6th, 2009

Why the Investment Crisis Has Simplified the Search for Solid Investment Advice

If there is a silver lining to this crisis, it is that most of the investment scams for the past two decades have now been exposed and the search to find solid investment guidance has genuinely become easier. The dirty secret of Wall Street and many commercial investment firms was that their hiring processes were never about hiring the most talented people that truly understood stock markets and macroeconomic trends. Instead, their hiring processes were more about identifying psychological profiles that would produce the best salesmen and saleswomen. The industry’s endless TV and magazine advertisements that revolved around messages of trust and records of operational longevity, in the end, only meant that they were able to perpetuate their scams for several decades longer than the now infamous Bernard Madoff Ponzi scheme. But for the firms that have survived, you can be assured that they will not give up the scams that they’ve perfected for the last several decades. So how can you use this crisis to your advantage Read more …

Add comment March 31st, 2009

8 Reasons Why the Obama Administration Will Not Solve this Crisis by the End of 2009

17 March, 2009

In response to US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s assertion that this global crisis will bottom before year-end, here are 8 reasons why the Obama administration will not pull America and the world with it, out of its current economic throes. For one, every major response of the Obama administration to counter this global crisis to this point has only served to exacerbate the current situation and has accomplished virtually nothing in attacking the root cause of this global crisis – an unsound monetary system. Secondly, it is next to impossible to solve a problem that has been decades in the making by implementing the same plan that created the crisis.

So without further ado, here are 8 reasons why the Obama administration will not end the crisis this year:

(1) Consider that President-elect Obama voted FOR the horrible $700 billion bailout plan that accomplished less than zero in fixing the global economy while only transferring wealth from people that were struggling the most to the unethical financial executives Read more …

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Guest Post: Barack Obama as Herbert Hoover
Obama Snubs Geitner?
Read more on Obama's Presidential Policy at Wikinvest

11 comments March 17th, 2009

Has Executive Order 12631 Effectively Ended the Era of Free Markets?

May 11, 2008

There has been a lot of speculation for many years now that during extreme financial crises, the U.S. Federal Reserve and other entities intervene in free markets from behind the scenes and do not allow free market forces to operate. There are usually two schools of thought that dominate this hotly contested issue. One group of people asserts that free market interference is entirely acceptable because the alternative of allowing free market conditions to create a market crash is not an option. Another group of people asserts that interference in free markets is undemocratic and self-destructive as intervention in free markets do not solve problems but only cover-them up and delay them, thereby only allowing the elite money who truly understand such actions to exit stock markets at the heights of these artificially manufactured rallies while laying waste to the wealth of the common investor when things inevitably fall apart in the near future.

Those that argue that free markets are dead state that free markets ended when U.S. President Ronald Reagan signed Executive Order 12631 into law on March 18, 1988, establishing the Working Group on Financial Markets, known as the Plunge Protection Team (PPT) in more conspiratorial circles. The Working Group’s members consist of the most powerful men in global finance – the U.S. Secretary of the Treasury, the chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve, the chairman of the SEC and the chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Reagan’s decision to form the Working Group was inspired by Black Monday, a day when U.S. Dow Jones index shed an incredible 508 points, or 22.6% of the index’s value at the time, in a single day.

The Working Group was assigned the mission of ensuring that such an event would never happen again. Instead of addressing the root causes of Black Monday such as money supply growth that encourages the formation of speculative stock market and real estate market bubbles that lead to inevitable crashes, many have contended that the Working Group instead operates by intervening in the free markets Read more …

1 comment May 11th, 2008

Recent Anomalies in U.S. Stock Markets – Proof of Free Market Intervention?

May 11, 2008

In Part I of this two-part article, “Has Executive Order 12631 Effectively Ended the Era of Free Markets?” I discussed publicly made statements by various officials of the U.S. Federal Reserve that indicated they would resort to free market intervention and manipulation “if necessary”. Since many of those statements have been made, there have been fierce arguments about whether or not the U.S. Federal Reserve takes such actions during periods of crisis. Such behind-the-scene actions, were they to occur, would certainly bring into question numerous legal, moral, and ethical issues. Just because former Board Member of the U.S. Federal Reserve Robert Heller stated that it is quite easy to manipulate stock markets and reverse free-market behavior through the purchase of stock futures, does this mean it happens? Of course not.

But a quick glance at market behavior ever since the Working Group has been formed, especially in the past several months, seems to indicate that some form of behind-the-scenes free-market interference occurs at regular intervals during crises. In past articles on my blog theUndergroundInvestor.com, I have reviewed statements of finance ministers from the G7 nations in which they admitted they were undertaking secret actions out of the public eye for fear that public knowledge of their actions would destroy the very effectiveness of their actions. To me, this sounds like an incredible admission of propping up action. Recently, “the SEC said it aims to slash margin requirements for institutions and hedge funds on stocks, options, and futures to as low as 15%, down from a range of 25% to 50%.” At a time when overleveraged funds have collapsed and created great stress in the global financial markets, a decision to allow funds to increase their leveraged positions seems not only foolish but seems to have no purpose but to prop up stock markets. Read more …

3 comments May 11th, 2008

Beware the Turbulence that Lies Beneath the Surface, Part I

October 9, 2007 – Those of you that have been reading my blog and newsletters for a while know that I view the vast majority of government released economic reports as nothing but manufactured, cooked reports designed to generate whatever confidence governments need from their citizens to keep the economy and stock markets stable and growing. In the U.S., the reported numbers about inflation, housing starts, and so forth are so distorted and distant from reality that they are virtually meaningless. I’ve always said the same about the statements made by the most powerful Central Bank in the world, the U.S. Federal Reserve. Yet at times, their Chairmen have been exceedingly honest in their comments, though the masses seem to ignore them. Years before he would spend more than two decades as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Alan Greenspan stated, “This is the shabby secret of the welfare statists’ tirades against gold. Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process. It stands as a protector of property rights. If one grasps this, one has no difficulty in understanding the statists’ antagonism toward the gold standard.” At least Greenspan told us the Fed Reserve’s plan and before they executed it and explained why a bear market would be manufactured in gold for 21 years.

Likewise, current U.S. Fed Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke explained his deep 0.50% rate cut on September 18th with the following statement: “We took the action to try to get out ahead of the situation and try to forestall (emphasis mine) potential effects of tighter credit conditions on the broader economy. The resulting global financial losses have far exceeded even the most pessimistic estimates of the credit losses on these loans.” Read more …

Add comment October 9th, 2007

U.S. Federal Reserve Decision on Interest Rate Cut on September 18th Will Have Little Long-Term Positive Effect on Stock Markets

September 15, 2007 -

Everybody is waiting now for this Tuesday’s decision by the Feds to finally learn how much the Feds slash interest rates. This decision is truly not that important for a number of reasons. (1) The Feds have already slashed interest rates in a couple of manners. One, by already injecting billions and billions of dollars into the banking system, they have already expanded monetary supply (which is the effect lower interest rates would have); and two, they have already slashed the discount rate (the rate at which banks can borrow from the government) again expanding money supply. True, the fed funds rate is what matters to the end consumer, but the actions the Feds already have taken will be harmful on the value of the U.S. dollar. It’s just a sneaky way of doing it without announcing to the world that they’ve slashed interest rates.

Thus, the news this Tuesday is likely to be less than overwhelming from the standpoint of the consumer that is looking for a substantial 50 to 75 basis point cut. Furthermore, the Fed has stated that inflation concerns are more worrisome than concerns of slowing U.S. economic growth. This is a curious statement as the Feds are primarily responsible for creating inflation through their easy money, monetary expansion policies. Their solution to any economic problem in the past has always to break out the printing presses and print as many dollars as is needed to provide a band-aid fix to the problem. And they probably will continue to sacrifice the dollar’s value for the sake of keeping up appearances in the future as well. Read more …

More on this topic (What's this?)
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Roubini v. Gross on Outlook for 2010
Read more on Interest Rates, Federal Reserve at Wikinvest

1 comment September 15th, 2007

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      J.S. Kim is the Founder & Managing Director of SmartKnowledgeU™, LLC. He attended the University of Pennsylvania, and received a double master in Business Administration and Public Policy from the University of Texas at Austin. Read more...


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